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The e-Trading Edit
Insights from the Inside

7 years
7
now in its seventh year
7 years
835
institutional traders responded
7 years
60
global locations

The e-Trading Edit is your annual insight into predictions for the year ahead. In January, 2023 traders across asset classes and regions share their views in our annual e-Trading survey, covering upcoming trends and the most hotly debated topics.

How will your predictions compare?

Trader TV

Watch industry-leading experts discuss the results of this year's e-Trading Edit, including Scott Wacker, J.P. Morgan's Global Head of FICC e-Sales.

Video Play Button
Video Play Button

Trader TV

Watch industry-leading experts discuss the results of this year's e-Trading Edit, including Scott Wacker, J.P. Morgan's Global Head of FICC e-Sales.

    Podcasts | Markets

Market Matters

12:25 One of the biggest drivers of market structure change has been the growth of electronic trading. In this podcast, Kate Finlayson, Head of FICC Market Structure, Chi Nzelu, Head of FICC eTrading, and Andreas Koukorinis, Head of Credit and Public Finance eTrading, discuss the emerging themes surrounding electronification across asset classes.

GLOBAL MARKETS

Traders predict that 'Recession risk' will have the biggest impact on markets in 2023. Closely followed by 'Inflation' and 'Geopolitical conflict'.

Question asked: Which potential developments will have the greatest impact on the markets in 2023? (Rank in order of importance)

Potential Developments
Potential Developments

This chart reflects that traders predict Recession risk (30%) will have the biggest impact on markets in 2023. Followed by Inflation (26%), Geopolitical conflict (19%), Market and economy dislocation (14%), Government policy change (9%), ESG, Climate risk factors (1%) and Global pandemic (0%). For 2022: Inflation (48%) will have the biggest impact, followed by Market and economy dislocation (13%), Global pandemic (13%), Recession risk (5%) and ESG/Climate risk factors (3%).

For traders that predicted ‘Inflation’ to have an impact on markets, we asked them ‘What is your outlook for the impact of inflation when pricing it in for 2023?’, with 44% of traders predicting inflation will decrease.

Question asked: What is your outlook for the impact of inflation when pricing it in for 2023, based on the region you are located in? (Select one option)

Inflation_Cards

This image shows that 44% of traders predict inflation will decrease. Followed by ‘Inflation will level off’ (37%) and ‘inflation will increase’(19%).

58% of traders surveyed based in the United States expect U.S. inflation levels to level off and 41% of traders surveyed based in the United Kingdom predict inflation to decrease.

Question asked: What is predicted impact of inflation, depending on the survey participants' location by region?

Inflation_Cards

This chart displays what percentage of traders predict inflation to increase, decrease or level off, by their location: U.K., U.S., Rest of Europe and APAC. For U.K.-based traders, the graph shows inflation will increase (27%), decrease (41%) and level off (32%). For U.S.-based traders, the graph shows inflation will increase (10%), decrease (32%) and level off (58%). For traders in the Rest of Europe, the graph shows inflation will increase (13%), decrease (56%) and level off (31%). For APAC-based traders, the graph shows inflation will increase (25%), decrease (35%) and level off (40%).