Key takeaways

  • The 2026 FIFA World Cup is poised to generate a surge in consumption, which could result in a windfall for sectors such as accommodation and advertising.
  • Median domestic equity returns for host countries weigh in at roughly +10%, though historical performance has been mixed.
  • Headwinds for markets include a challenging macro backdrop, geopolitical uncertainty and growing concerns about the low-end consumer.

The highly anticipated 2026 FIFA World Cup kicked off on June 11, with 48 nations playing 104 matches across the U.S., Canada and Mexico — marking the largest tournament in the event’s 96-year history. While attention will be focused on the pitch, there could be ramifications for markets as well, especially as the tournament is set to drive a spike in travel flows and consumer spending. According to FIFA, 6.5 million people — including up to 1.5 million international tourists — are expected to attend matches, generating as much as $17.2 billion in gross domestic product (GDP) for the U.S. alone.

How might all that spend translate across the stock market — and which sectors could outperform? 

The 2026 FIFA World Cup in numbers 

Infographic depicting the 2026 FIFA World Cup in numbers., in terms of expected attendance, global event-related expenditure and global GDP.

What could the World Cup mean for equity markets?

Several consumer-facing sectors and industries could experience a temporary boost during the World Cup. To capture the tournament’s impact on equity markets, the Equity Research team at J.P. Morgan has created two thematic baskets of stocks: 

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    2026 World Cup Beneficiaries: Secondary ticketing, lodging, rideshare, food, advertising, apparel and car rentals — sectors that are poised to benefit from a surge in consumption. 

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    2026 World Cup Sponsors: The official sponsors and partners of the tournament. Notably, portfolios of World Cup sponsors outperformed broader market indexes such as the S&P 500 during the past two tournaments.   

For host countries, domestic equity returns stemming from the World Cup have historically been mixed, based on the respective MSCI Country Index relative to the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) during previous tournaments. “Qatar enjoyed returns of +10% in 2022 and Russia +5.4% in 2018; on the other hand, Brazil’s returns were -19.5% in 2014,” said Bhupinder Singh, U.S. equity strategist and head of Thematic Research at J.P. Morgan. “Overall, however, the median host-country return sits at roughly +10% the year they host, likely underpinned by persistent tourism effects, stronger consumer sentiment and scope for higher FDI/investment inflows.” 

That said, there are headwinds to consider. “While anticipation for the tournament is high, expectations for likely beneficiaries [in equity markets] are quite low given a challenging macro backdrop, geopolitical uncertainty and growing concerns about the low-end consumer,” Singh added. “However, given the magnitude of the tournament, we expect market sentiment to improve.” 

“While anticipation for the tournament is high, expectations for likely beneficiaries [in equity markets] are quite low given a challenging macro backdrop, geopolitical uncertainty and growing concerns about the low-end consumer.”

What are the key sectors and industries to watch?  

Some lodging stocks are forecast to see significant upside during the World Cup. With fans traveling from far and wide, J.P. Morgan Global Research estimates that the tournament will generate $910 million in incremental U.S. hotel room revenue. Furthermore, revenue per available room (RevPAR) for host cities is expected to increase by up to 25% in June and July.

On the other hand, early occupancy data suggests corporate travelers are steering clear of host cities in June to avoid the World Cup rush. “This dynamic may weigh modestly on occupancy, especially between games, but should be more than offset by stronger pricing,” said Daniel Politzer, who leads the Gaming & Lodging research team at J.P. Morgan. 

The influx of travelers is also set to augment the car rentals industry in host cities, especially those with a larger geographic footprint. “In suburban stadium markets, sprawling metros and cities with weaker transit options, rental cars become the natural default,” noted Rajat Gupta, head of the U.S. Autos equity research team at J.P. Morgan.

In addition, around one-third of international tourists plan to stay beyond two weeks, and around 80% intend to explore destinations beyond the largest gateway cities, as per data from the U.S. Travel Association. “This dynamic should skew rental demand toward multi-city, multi-week, premium-vehicle bookings, with a higher likelihood of attaching protection products, enabling rental car companies to secure elevated rates over longer durations,” Gupta said.

Similarly, rideshare stocks could experience a boost as fans seek convenient mobility options to and from stadiums. According to J.P. Morgan Global Research, gross bookings could rise by as much as $543 million during the tournament period. 

The tournament is projected to drive $5 billion of incremental global advertising spending as companies seek to capitalize on fan engagement, $4 billion of which could flow to digital channels. “With 2025 digital penetration estimated at around 73% of total ad spend, online advertising companies should drive the significant majority of World Cup ad spend,” noted Doug Anmuth, head of the U.S. Internet research team at J.P. Morgan.

Looking at other channels, national TV advertising inventory tied to World Cup telecasts in the U.S. is nearly sold out; in the same vein, out-of-home (OOH) inventory in and near host cities is heavily booked. “The World Cup should drive a cyclical boost for OOH players, but, perhaps more importantly, it provides a moment in time to bring new advertisers into the outdoor medium,” said David Karnovsky, head of the U.S. Media, Entertainment and Advertising research team at J.P. Morgan.

Sports retailers across the globe are expected to benefit from increased demand during the World Cup, and some have launched themed collections tied to the event.

“The World Cup brings incremental revenue to companies mostly via apparel sales, such as jerseys, and to a lesser extent, accessories such as balls,” said Chiara Battistini, head of the European Luxury and Sporting Goods research team at J.P. Morgan. “For the sector in general, we expect the tournament to boost interest and improve store traffic, and we continue to assess if it will bring more heat to football-inspired lifestyle products.” 

All in all, while equity markets could score big during the World Cup, the uplift will likely be short-lived and concentrated in specific sectors and geographies. Once the tournament ends, consumption should normalize, making the World Cup a temporary cyclical impulse rather than a structural growth driver. 

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