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2021 brings collective demand for change around the globe.
January 20, 2021
ESG ranked as the top asset class for increased allocations in J.P. Morgan’s U.S. Fixed Income Strategy client survey for 2021. In a recent report, J.P. Morgan Global Research explores the factors that are accelerating ESG investment flows, highlighting the growth of the asset class and new developments including a discussion of the ESG market and index outperformance during COVID-19. J.P. Morgan’s Equity Research team covers ESG trends around the world in 13 sectors, including renewables, autos, transportation, software technology, oil and gas, mining and steel, utilities, telecom, and consumer goods.
“2020 marked a new dawn for ESG as it is now clear that the U.S. will be actively engaged in better
integration of long-term sustainability goals that support the prospects for ESG investing. President
Biden elevates the ESG agenda and is taking an approach that is both multilateral and multi-dimensional in
nature,” notes Joyce Chang, Chair of Global Research.
COVID-19: A Tipping Point for ESG?
COVID-19 is going down in history as one of the most economically destructive events of the past 125 years, a period that includes two World Wars, the Great Depression and the Global Financial Crisis. Its economic toll has put the spotlight on pandemic resiliency and accelerated changes in corporate behavior, highlighting the need to assure public health and safety, as well as the resiliency of supply chains.
Stakeholders are increasingly
pricing in sustainability
preferences and we expect a
more favorable political and
regulatory environment for
& Hugo Dubourg Co-Heads of ESG & Sustainability
Research J.P. Morgan
With the movement for racial justice igniting over
the past summer following the death of George
Floyd, public and corporate views have rapidly
evolved as increased shareholder activism has
demanded greater focus on advancing diversity
The core of incoming President Biden’s
“Build Back Better” proposal is a $2 trillion
sustainable infrastructure and clean energy plan
that aims to achieve a carbon pollution-free
power sector by 2035, to produce net zero
emissions by 2050, and to reduce by half the
carbon footprint of buildings. Beyond the focus on
climate change, Biden’s platform includes
significant social measures to reform taxation,
expand healthcare coverage and forgive student
“2020 will be remembered for putting the
spotlight on the ‘S’ and ‘G’ pillars as COVID-19
broadened the focus beyond the ‘E’ factor.
Stakeholders are increasingly pricing in sustainability preferences and we expect a more favorable political and regulatory environment for ESG investing,” note Jean-Xavier Hecker and Hugo Dubourg Co-Heads of ESG & Sustainability Research.
Europe continues to lead in climate change policy, and COVID-19 has increased the ambitions of “green budgets,” which intend to mobilize 1 trillion euros of “sustainable investments” over the next decade. “The EU Green Deal went even greener over the past year, with increased climate targets, disclosure requirements, and adoption of green budgets,” added Hecker and Dubourg.
Moving into the Mainstream on
ESG in numbers:
ESG fund universe grew by
more than 100% during
2020 with total ESG assets
now estimated at $7.2trn
versus $3trn in 2019
U.S. experienced the
biggest adoption increase
in 2020, but more than
80% of sustainable assets
still reside in Europe
JESG indices outperformed
baseline indices by ~40bps
in 2020 and assets tracked
against the JESG indices
now exceed $20bn
The pace of ESG adoption in the asset management community more than doubled during 2020, with
growth of the ESG fund universe exceeding 100% over the past year and total ESG assets now estimated at
$7.2 trillion versus last year’s $3 trillion estimate, according to Senior Global Markets Strategist, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. U.S.-domiciled sustainable investments increased to $17.1 trillion at the beginning of 2020, up 42% from $12 trillion two years earlier, according to a survey from US SIF: The Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment. Nearly $1.5 trillion has flowed into ESG funds since December 2019, taking the total assets under management beyond $3 trillion, according to data insights company Refinitiv Lipper.
The U.S. has seen the biggest adoption increase, but more than 80% of sustainable assets still reside in
Europe, with the potential for U.S. cash flows to rise substantially. In our U.S. Fixed Income Strategy client survey for 2021, ESG came out as the top asset class for increased allocations. Some investors now view ESG as a “safe haven” in times of crises, with 48% planning to add exposure, exceeding high yield (37%) and EM (37%) by a wide margin, and only 1% planning to reduce exposure.
Major Asian economics - China, Japan and South Korea - announced net zero/carbon neutral targets in 2020
with China outlining its goal to reach peak CO2 emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by
2060, notes Elaine Wu, Head of Asia ex-Japan ESG and Utilities Research, who launched the Asia ex-Japan
ESG Model Portfolio with top ideas across various sectors in the region.
During 2020 there was growing evidence of positive correlations between ESG and financial performance.
J.P. Morgan’s ESG indices and ESGQ stock selection framework outperformed during the COVID-19 induced
crash, strengthening the rationale for investing in ESG strategies. Morningstar notes that virtually all ESG
index funds outperformed their conventional benchmarks in 2020 because they were underweight energy,
one of the worst-performing sectors. Gloria Kim, Head of Global Index Research, highlights that J.P. Morgan’s
JESG indices outperformed baseline indices by ~40 basis points in 2020, and assets benchmarked against
the index suite outpaced expectations to exceed $20 billion, with the potential to double in the next 12-18
months. Similarly, over the five years through end-2019, Morningstar finds that 64% of U.S. sustainable funds
placed in the top half of their categories.
The green bond market also passed a major milestone in 2020, surpassing $1 trillion, while the corporate
global green, social, and sustainability market grew to a record $600 billion. Global green, social and
sustainability (GSS) bond issuance reached a record $392 billion in 2020, up by more than 40% from 2019
issuance. Equities have received the bulk of ESG flows in 2020 through passive investment via exchange
traded funds (ETFs), but there is considerable scope for growth as ESG Equity ETFs represent less than 1% of
total equity ETF assets but accounted for more than 30% of all equity ETF flows for the first four months of
J.P. Morgan’s Approach to ESG Investing
In April 2018, J.P. Morgan created the ESG Index Suite (JESG) by introducing the JESG suite of emerging market bond indices. The ESG Global High Yield Corporate Index (JESG GHYCI) and Asia Credit ESG Index (JESG JACI) were later launched in 2019.
Through the JESG indices, J.P. Morgan provides scoring coverage for over 6,000 global corporate and quasisovereign issuers across 14 sectors and 173 sovereigns. In November 2020, J.P. Morgan expanded its ESG
index suite and launched the Green Bond Index (GENIE) that tracks 430 green instruments by 216 issuers
across 40 countries with an aggregate market value of $441 billion.
Since 2018, J.P. Morgan has used an ESGQ proprietary stock selection metric with eight dimensions that
helps investors pick stocks in a responsible way by prioritizing ESG factors. ESGQ now covers a universe of
5,547 stocks globally and is constructed using three building blocks:
Stability in ESG scores by using slow-moving and infrequent data variables that capture the long-term corporate responsibility profile of a company and couples these scores with:
Faster moving ESG data that isolate news flow on potential controversies
Momentum from these scores captures changes in investor sentiment and price
“ESGQ is a better way to invest,” notes Global Quantitative Strategy Analyst
Khuram Chaudhry, “as ESG metrics can help investors pick stocks in a responsible way
that outperforms the index and also increases the ability to spot the next controversy.”
This material is not a product of the Research Departments of J.P. Morgan and is not a research report. Unless otherwise specifically stated, any views or opinions expressed herein are solely those of the authors listed, and may differ from the views and opinions expressed by J.P. Morgan’s Research Departments or other departments or divisions of J.P. Morgan and its affiliates.
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