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After a muted start to the year due to a combination of recession fears, geopolitical risks and tariff uncertainty, global dealmaking has found its stride. Global M&A volumes are up 27% compared with the previous year, while IPO market volumes have climbed around 12% on the back of strong momentum in financials, fintech and industrials, as well as a revival in big-ticket tech offerings.

Deals of size and those involving private equity have been prominent drivers of the market. There has also been a rise in take-private transactions and minority stake sales, as the line between public and private markets continues to blur. International markets have benefited from the volatility seen in the U.S., with deal volume in Asia Pacific up 92% versus this time last year.

In debt capital markets, high interest rates and stubborn inflation have driven record high yield issuance, particularly in Europe, as investors adapt to ongoing trade tensions.

“In a year marked by volatility, businesses have demonstrated remarkable resilience. We’re proud that we can support our clients through any cycle, helping them navigate uncertainty and achieve their goals,” said Filippo Gori, co-head of Global Banking.

Dealmaking in the first half

Infographic showing key dealmaking statistics from the first half of 2025.

Seven trends behind the growth in dealmaking

Led by the blockbuster IPOs of stablecoin issuer Circle and design platform Figma, tech and fintech dealmaking is back after a slowdown post-pandemic. Figma and Circle both saw record-breaking debut gains as shares were heavily oversubscribed, with J.P. Morgan leading both transactions.

Other recent IPOs led by J.P. Morgan this year include Miax ($400 million), Bullish ($1.3 billion) and Chime ($995 million). Industrials are also seeing a surge of 60% from the previous year, including the significant listings of Japanese smartphone material manufacturer JX Advanced Metals and Firefly Aerospace — both involving J.P. Morgan.   

Rising corporate clarity has played a significant role in shaping dealmaking in the first half of 2025. Activist investors have been increasingly influential, pushing for changes in corporate governance and strategic decisions.

The Warner Bros. Discovery deal demonstrates how companies are adapting to this landscape, seeking strategic advice and corporate clarity. The group announced its intention to split into two separate entities — one focusing on streaming and the other on cable networks, news and sports brands — driven by the need to adapt to changing market dynamics in the media landscape. J.P. Morgan advised Warner Bros. Discovery on the transaction, acting as sole lead dealer manager and solicitation agent to the company’s effective $36 billion liability management exercise, aimed at optimizing its capital structure prior to the separation. J.P. Morgan also acted as sole initial provider of a $17.5 billion secured bridge facility to facilitate the exercise.

Take-private deals have become another strategic option for companies looking to restructure and stabilize away from public markets, particularly as a large percentage of the market is still trading at a discount, despite all-time highs.

3G Capital acquired footwear maker Skechers for $10.4 billion in a take-private deal that was a mix of cash and debt. J.P. Morgan acted as exclusive financial advisor to 3G Capital and provided the debt financing for the privatization. The landmark transaction represented the largest footwear M&A deal of all time and the fourth largest Consumer & Retail leveraged buyout (LBO), according to Dealogic.

The 3G–Skechers deal, along with Sycamore Partners’ take-private deal of Walgreens Boots Alliance (mentioned below) and the XRG-led consortium’s $36.6 billion acquisition of Australian gas producer Santos (where J.P. Morgan acted as sole financial advisor), are among the largest take-private deals of the year so far. 

Sponsors continue to sit on elevated levels of dry powder, with many eyeing structured monetization deals and waiting for the right opportunities before deploying capital. Minority stake sales are up 21% year-over-year, with 35% coming from the tech space. J.P. Morgan served as exclusive financial advisor to Brightstar Capital Partners on its acquisition of technology-driven, direct-to-consumer digital health company, Analyte Health.

Sponsor-led, healthcare AI deals have been another emerging trend, with J.P. Morgan exclusively advising Machinify, a portfolio company of New Mountain Capital, on its $670 million acquisition of Performant Healthcare. The firm also advised Iodine Software, a portfolio company of Advent International on its sale to Waystar.

The boom in private credit has been a major theme over the last several years, as the rapidly expanding direct lending market has drawn interest from both institutional and retail investors and helped fuel the pickup in deal activity.

J.P. Morgan recently acted as the co-lead financial advisor to Sycamore Partners’ take-private deal of Walgreens Boots Alliance, providing commitment papers to finance the transaction, which is valued at up to $23.7 billion. This highlights the firm’s capabilities in providing tailor-made, product-agnostic solutions across public and private markets as well as up and down the capital stack.

J.P. Morgan also provided jumbo loans to Jeppesen, Enervus, Machinify and Datavant, following the firm’s recent $50 billion commitment to direct lending from its balance sheet, along with nearly $22 billion from multiple co-lenders. This strategic move is designed to extend the firm’s direct lending capabilities and provide tailored private credit solutions to meet the evolving needs of clients.

In the asset management sector, J.P. Morgan acted as lead financial advisor to HPS Investment Partners on its $12 billion sale to BlackRock.

Investment in critical industries, such as rare earth minerals, has been another area of focus, as the U.S. aims to reduce its dependency on sourcing materials from trading partners. MP Materials recently entered into a public-private partnership with the U.S. Department of Defense to build out a domestic rare earth magnet supply chain. J.P. Morgan is partnering to provide $1 billion in secured financing to build MP Materials’ new magnet manufacturing facility.

The surge in AI activity and resulting growth in data centers has been another key theme to watch, as power demand and electricity consumption projections hit new highs. CoreWeave's recent IPO is part of a broader trend of AI companies attracting significant investor interest. J.P. Morgan acted as joint lead bookrunner for CoreWeave’s $2.5 billion IPO and as lead left bookrunner on its debut $2 billion senior unsecured notes offering.

Outside of the U.S., J.P. Morgan recently advised Princeton Digital, a major data center operator in Asia Pacific, on an investment from alternatives firm Stonepeak. In Australia, J.P. Morgan also acted as exclusive financial advisor to AI accounting software group, Xero, on its $2.5 billion acquisition of Melio and provided committed financing for the transaction. In Europe, the firm also acted as financial advisor to InfraVia Capital Partners on the sale of Swiss-based digital infrastructure platform Green to IFM Investors.

Looking ahead, some of these key trends are set to gain further momentum, with a robust IPO pipeline that builds on the renewed strength of the tech market. Activism will remain a theme to watch, while tariffs and the accompanying macroeconomic uncertainty will continue to shape the broader landscape.

“Our exceptional Global Banking team continues to provide unwavering dedication to serving our clients of all sizes, maximizing our entire franchise to deliver more value to businesses around the world,” said John Simmons, co-head of Global Banking.

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