Research
Global Economic Research
GLOBAL DATA WATCH
- Less growth, less fear
- 2008-05-02
Since the credit crisis began last summer, our views have been expressed with an unusually low level of conviction. As the crisis widened and intensified, uncertainties about the macroeconomic outlook greatly increased. Today, uncertainty remains high, but recent developments-including policy actions, financial market moves, and economic indicators-have increased our conviction about the path the global economy will follow for the rest of this year. Global growth is likely to soften broadly, producing the first significant phase of sub-par global performance since early 2003. At the same time, fears will likely fade that financial stresses will derail the global expansion or produce a deep US recession.
NOTES AND SPECIAL REPORTS
| Australian house prices pushed north by undersupply | 2008-05-02 |
| Global IP slowdown coming to an EM country near you | 2008-05-02 |
| Just past half time for US house price declines | 2008-05-02 |
| 1Q GDP report shows US credit and business tightening | 2008-05-02 |
| UK resource use is already back to normal levels | 2008-05-02 |
| Korea’s BoP to stay soft, but getting some temporary help | 2008-05-02 |
| Argentina’s funding plan: angel in the details, devil outside | 2008-05-02 |
| Smoothing out the US growth forecast | 2008-04-25 |
| ECB still likely to ease, but not until later in the year | 2008-04-25 |
| BoJ’s outlook report likely to signal a long rate pause | 2008-04-25 |
| Data Watch: Summary Outlook | 2008-05-02 |
| Regional Data Calendars | 2008-05-02 |
DATA WATCH BY COUNTRY/REGION
DAILY ECONOMIC BRIEFING
| May 7, 2008 | 2008-05-07 |
| May 6, 2008 | 2008-05-06 |
| May 5, 2008 | 2008-05-05 |
| May 1, 2008 | 2008-05-01 |
| April 30, 2008 | 2008-04-30 |
Note: Global Data Watch is updated every Wednesday. Daily Economic Briefing is updated with a 1-day delay and is not published on Fridays.